Tuesday MACtion College Football Predictions – Toledo vs Bowling Green, Western Michigan vs Northern Ilinois, Akron vs EMU

Sep 2, 2023; Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts, USA; Northern Illinois Huskies quarterback Rocky Lombardi (12) looks to pass during the first half against the Boston College Eagles at Alumni Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY SportsCollege football MACtion continues with three games on TuesdayToledo battles Bowling Green, while Western Michigan faces Northern IllinoisGet our MACtion predictions for the three-game Tuesday slate below

The college football MACtion tradition continues Tuesday with three games on the tap for November 14th. We’ve got predictions for Toledo vs Bowling Green among others after going 3-0 with our most recent MACtion picks.

The surging Rockets are seeking their first 10-game winning streak in 51 years, while Western Michigan and Northern Illinois face off in a pivotal bowl “elimination” game. Elsewhere, Akron takes on Eastern Michigan.

Let’s get into our Tuesday MACtion predictions for November 14th.

Toledo vs Bowling Green Odds

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All MACtion odds as of November 14th. You can bet on all three games at ESPN Sportsbook, which is now officially live! Make sure to use our ESPN Bet promo. 

Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction

Toledo (9-1) looks to extend their winning streak to 10 games with a victory over Bowling Green (6-4) on Tuesday night. The red-hot Rockets are 42-41-4 in the Battle of I-75 and have won 11 of the last 13 meetings.

There is a 10-point spread for the game, which is pretty accurate based on our metrics. We have Toledo favored by around 13 points on a neutral field, so factor in the fact this game is being played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium and you get around a 10-point spread.

The 419 is midnight blue. #TeamToledo pic.twitter.com/aDAc3lbSc4

— Toledo Football (@ToledoFB) November 14, 2023

While Toledo is the hottest team in the MAC, the Falcons have reeled off four straight victories, including a commanding 49-19 victory over Kent State. We believe Bowling Green can keep this game competitive on the strength of its defense, which is allowing only 329 yards and 24 points per game.

The Falcons have the potential x-factor in this game with junior RB Ta’ron Keith, who went off for 103 rushing yards and 130 receiving last week. With Toledo’s run defense only middle-of-the-pack in the MAC (151 YPG), look for BGSU to attack the Rockets on the ground and stay within the number.

Pick: Bowling Green +10 (-110) ESPN BET App Available for Download on iOS and Android NowRead More

Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois Odds

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Western Michigan	+5 (-110)	+164	Over 55 (-110)
Northern Illinois	-5 (-110)	-198	Under 55 (-110)

Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois Pick

Two teams seeking bowl eligibility square off Tuesday when the Western Michigan Broncos (4-6) face the Northern Illinois Huskies (4-6) at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium in DeKalb, Ill. Both these teams need to win out in order to get to six wins and become bowl eligible.

The Huskies have the most experienced player in this game in senior quarterback Rocky Lombardi, who has completed 153 of 263 passes (58.2%) for 1,799 yards and nine touchdowns. Junior running back Antario Brown is also a major impact player with nearly 1,000 yards rushing.

Mama, there goes that man!

Antario Brown with the 61-yard house call! @NIU_Football | #MACtion pic.twitter.com/5a6B7CDnku

— #MACtion (@MACSports) November 1, 2023

The sharp money is on the Huskies in this game, with the line ticking up to -5 at some sportsbooks after opening around a field goal. We’re going to focus on the game total, however, as NIU hasn’t been overly impressive recently, dropping two straight games and struggling to finish off scoring drives.

The “over” has cashed in seven of the last eight Western Michigan games, primarily due to the team’s miserable defense (32.78). On the flip side, however, the Huskies’ defense is allowing nearly 170 yards per game on the ground, and the Broncos have a dual-threat quarterback in Hayden Wolff, plus a talented RB in Jalen Buckley (892 yds) who can exploit those weaknesses and put up points.

Pick: Over 55 (-110)

Akron vs Eastern Michigan Odds

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Akron	+3.5 (-110)	+142	Over 39 (-110)
Eastern Michigan	-3.5 (-110)	-170	Under 39 (-110)

Akron vs Eastern Michigan Prediction

Two of the lower-tier teams in the MAC battle Tuesday when the Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-6) face the Akron Zips (2-8) at Rynearson Stadium. The Eagles are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Akron vs. Eastern Michigan odds, which is up a half point from the opening line.

Akron vs Eastern Michigan features a very low total for a MACtion game at 39, and we believe the value is actually on the under. These are two very inefficient offenses, with the Zips averaging 17 points per game and the Eagles managing 19 points per contest.

While the public will be hammering the low total, the college football public betting splits show that the “under” is getting 49% of the handle with only 27% of the bets. A key factor in this money distribution is the fact the Zips could be without two of their top players, RB Lorenzo Lingard and WR Alex Adams (both QUESTIONABLE).

We expect to see plenty of running the ball Tuesday, especially EMU with their dynamic RB tandem of Jaylon Jackson and Samson Evans. As poor as both these teams have performed, they are both in the upper half of the MAC in passing defense. This has all the makings of a low-scoring slugfest.

Pick: Under 39 (-110)

 

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